The scenario planning process helps organization leaders navigate uncertainty while providing structure
around making key strategic decisions. It is critical for organization leaders to engage in an iterative
scenario planning process that accounts for factors outside of your control (e.g., shelter-in-place
restrictions and the pace of economic recovery) and actions and options within your control (e.g.,
operational shifts and cost reductions).
This toolkit shares a four-step scenario planning process anchored in preserving your organization’s ability to pursue its mission. Specifically, it will help you and your leadership team identify key drivers (the ones most important to your organization’s economics and impact, and facing the highest levels of risk), develop a range of best-, moderate-, and worst-case scenarios over the next ~6-12 months, create related action plans for each scenario, and determine triggers that tell you when to put plans into action.
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